LiquidPulse — Regime Dashboard

0/4 gate signals green. Need 2 more for deployment.

Cash/stables. Monitor weekly. Update this snapshot every Monday.

Signal Cascade

~3.6% YoY

Needs 3+ months accelerating growth

Risk-On YoY growth accelerating for 3+ consecutive months

Neutral Growing but not accelerating

Risk-Off Decelerating or negative

Neutral

Growing but not accelerating. Last 3 months YoY: 4.2% → 4.9% → 3.6%.

99.55

99.5 (below 100) — needs 3+ weeks sustained

Risk-On Sustained below 100 (weekly close <100 for 3+ weeks)

Neutral 100-102 range

Risk-Off Break above 102

Neutral

Trading near 100-102 range. Recent range: 99.55-100.15. Last 3 weekly closes: 99.65, 100.15, 99.55.

$315B MCAP

$525M (above $200M) — needs 3+ weeks sustained

Risk-On MCAP rising (WoW) + inflows >$200M/week for 3+ weeks

Neutral Mixed signals

Risk-Off MCAP declining or inflows <$50M/week

Neutral

Mixed signals. Latest weekly flow: +$0.52B. 3-week flow streak: +$1.52B -> -$0.44B -> +$0.64B. Total MCAP: $315B.

56.2%

56.2% (below 58%) — trend required: declining >1pp/wk for 3+ wks

Risk-On <58% and declining >1pp/week for 3+ weeks

Neutral Flat/consolidating

Risk-Off >62% or rising

Neutral

Headline available, but live trend confirmation is unavailable. Confirm multi-week decline from a curated source before treating this as risk-on. Alt Season Index ~66/100.

0.0315

90% there

Risk-On Reclaim 0.035 + 3 consecutive green weekly closes

Neutral Between 0.030-0.035, no trend

Risk-Off Below 0.030 or making new lows

Neutral

Between 0.030-0.035, no clear trend. 1 consecutive green week(s). Recent: 0.0295, 0.0306, 0.0301, 0.0315.

Deployment Tier

Tier A

P1 + P2 green

Tier B

P1 + P2 + P3 green

Tier C

P1 + P2 + P3 + P4 green

NO DEPLOYMENT — Cash/stables

Allocation

Majors

Bucket 1

Bucket 2

Bucket 3

BTC / ETH Split (within Majors)

BTC 70%

ETH 30%

Default split — no strong ETH signal

Shifts to 50/50 when P5 (ETHBTC) green + P4 (BTC.D) declining + ETH catalysts present

What We're Watching

Near-term Catalyst Path

Iran de-escalation -> DXY breaks below 100
P2 flips green -> with P1 neutral-positive, unlocks Tier A
Stablecoin inflows re-accelerating (P3) opens Tier B

Key Dates

• May 15 — Fed Chair transition (Warsh nominated, pending Senate confirmation)
• FOMC meetings through Q2
• Tariff reassessment impact on inflation data

Current Posture

Cash/stables. Monitor weekly. Update this snapshot every Monday.

What We're Watching

Near-term Catalyst Path

Iran de-escalation -> DXY breaks below 100
P2 flips green -> with P1 neutral-positive, unlocks Tier A
Stablecoin inflows re-accelerating (P3) opens Tier B

Key Dates

• May 15 — Fed Chair transition (Warsh nominated, pending Senate confirmation)
• FOMC meetings through Q2
• Tariff reassessment impact on inflation data

Current Posture

Cash/stables. Monitor weekly. Update this snapshot every Monday.

Regime Dashboard

Signal Cascade

What We're Watching

Keyboard Shortcuts

Regime Dashboard

Signal Cascade

What We're Watching